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    Pitches•mapleleafcap•3 months ago

    $CLANKER - a $GP-style 5-7x upside re-rerun, this time led by $BASE + Farcaster ecosystem @ 1-2x annualized burn if FCF sustains.

    $CLANKER$GP$BASE

    Allegedly this is a strong buy right when the news is announced, but fee also did ramp from 65k / day previously to 250k - 700k currently. One may argue the run from 35 to 100 is not enough (1.5x burn at 35, now still barely 1-1.5x burn if you think 250k / day is sustainable). If the current fees are sustainable, peer multiple of 5-10x Price-to-burn implies 5-7x upside.

    Written by chatgpt o5 so don’t fault me for errors.


    TL;DR

    • ◆Farcaster’s Oct-23/24 acquisition of Clanker hard-switched token economics to a buyback meta: two-thirds (66.7%) of protocol fees are now used to buy and hold/burn $CLANKER, legacy fee assets were burned, and ~7% of supply was locked into one-sided LP. This makes $CLANKER a direct, programmatic beneficiary of platform usage.
    • ◆Farcaster has no token, and Coinbase’s Base App is explicitly surfacing Farcaster + Zora in-feed; $CLANKER is the cleanest proxy on that stack.
    • ◆Early buybacks (~$65k from prior-day fees) were manual; automation is slated, and fee prints have been strong, but the burn cadence hasn’t yet dialed up to “big FCF days.”
    • ◆In the past 2 days, daily fee hit 200-300k, and current fee generation hit $700K on October 25 alone. A 250k / day fee = 60 mm of annualized burn, and maintaining the 700k USD pace = 150mm+ of annualized burn. Sustainability would imply that $CLANKER is significantly undervalued versus comparable platforms like Pump.fun — and we could see a replay of the Graphite Protocol ($GP) dynamic which topped out at 8.5x burn.
    • ◆Sustaining 250k daily fee at 7.5x Price-to-burn implies 5x upside for $CLANKER.

    Set-up and why now

    • ◆On the mechanics, Farcaster stated that 2/3 of all Clanker fees (past & future) are redeployed into $CLANKER purchases/hold, with prior ecosystem tokens burned and ~7% of supply one-sided LP-locked. This is a policy switch that directly ties protocol usage to token demand.
    • ◆Execution to date: Farcaster disclosed an initial ~$65k buyback using two-thirds of prior-day fees, with the remainder held in USDC for tax, manual for now, and automation planned in the coming weeks. In other words, observed burns are early cadence, not peak free-cash-flow (FCF).
    • ◆Revenue context: Clanker has already amassed >$34M in cumulative swap fees (peak ~$1.1M/day), indicating capacity for sizable burn flow once the new policy fully scripts.

    Business model and Farcaster integration (how value accrues)

    • ◆What Clanker does. Clanker is an autonomous token-deployer: creators can mint ERC-20s on Base by tagging @clanker inside Farcaster; pools are initialized on Uniswap with configurable fee tiers (v3 → v4).
    • ◆Fees. In v4, creators (via SDK) choose static/dynamic fees (e.g., 1% token side / 2% paired side). A Clanker protocol fee (20% of the effective fee) is collected at the pool level. Under the new Farcaster arrangement, two-thirds of protocol fees convert to $CLANKER and are held/burned. (Design = direct revenue → buybacks.)
    • ◆Why Farcaster matters. Farcaster’s Frames make mint/buy/swap actions native to the feed; Coinbase’s Base App now ships a social feed powered by Farcaster and Zora, and has announced DEX integration to expose “millions of assets directly in the Base App”—a distribution surface that can route creator/memecoin flows to Clanker-launched pools.

    Coinbase & Farcaster: strategic intent—and where CLANKER fits

    • ◆Coinbase’s direction. Coinbase rebranded Wallet to Base App (an “everything app” for social + trading + mini-apps + payments), explicitly powered by Farcaster (social) and Zora (creator coins). Media and Base’s own blog emphasize the on-chain consumer push and content monetization via Farcaster/Zora in a native feed.
    • ◆Distribution is compounding. Reporting shows Zora usage is increasingly occurring from Base App, evidencing Coinbase-driven discovery and conversion across the Farcaster/Zora surface.
    • ◆M&A posture. Coinbase is in deal mode (e.g., Deribit options acquisition announced; recent buy of Echo; earlier Liquifi, and team acquihires) to build an end-to-end “everything exchange / on-chain consumer” stack. For CLANKER, the key is product distribution, not ownership—Base App can showcase Farcaster-native token spins and route users to one-click buys once DEX aggregation is fully integrated.
    • ◆Implication for $CLANKER. There’s no Farcaster token; $CLANKER is the cleanest public lever to Farcaster-centric creator/memecoin activity surfacing inside Base. If Coinbase keeps spotlighting Farcaster/Zora, Clanker’s fee base should track creator/token throughput—and buybacks should track fees.

    Precedent to anchor the narrative: $GP (Graphite Protocol)

    • ◆On Solana, Bonk.fun redirected fee share to token burns and GP buybacks. As Bonk.fun took ~55% issuance share from Pump.fun, $GP rerated on a much smaller fee cut (~7–7.6%). The lesson: platform share gains + verifiable buybacks can drive reflexive repricing.
    • ◆When the Bonk Cabal was ramping up Bonk volume, GP repriced materially upward when the story is in-motion. (see thesis here: https://www.bidclub.io/posts/cmcvvsqwb00012jcsfqmpz9f1)
    • ◆$GP ultimately topped out at 8.5x burn vs. FDV. One can expect $CLANKER to top out at similar 5-10x levels vs. the public’s perception of then-prevailing annualized burn.

    Sensitivity: fees → buybacks → implied FDV

    • ◆For instance, if $CLANKER can sustain its fees to be at least 200-300k per day, a 7.5x Price to burn would imply a 500mm USD FDV, another 5x from here.

    Risks

    • ◆Throughput risk: If Farcaster/Base App distribution under-delivers or creators favor other venues, fee capture lags.
    • ◆Execution risk:Manual buybacks today; automation must land with predictable cadence and public metrics.
    • ◆Competitive response: Pump/BONK.fun iterate on creator economics/UX; Clanker must ship v4 fee modules + extensions cleanly.
    • ◆Reg/PR overhang: Creator tokens + livestreaming are headline-sensitive; policy shifts can knock creator supply. (General sector risk.)

    Sources / receipts

    Acquisition & policy (66.7 % buybacks, burn prior assets, LP lock, no Farcaster token)

    • ◆https://www.bankless.com/read/news/crypto-social-platform-farcaster-acquires-clanker-token-bot
    • ◆https://dropstab.com/news/farcaster-acquires-clanker-token-bot

    First disclosed buyback (~$65 k manual; automation pending)

    • ◆https://panewslab.com/en/articledetails/9e4e59dff46e.html
    • ◆https://www.phemex.com/academy/farcaster-clanker-token-buyback
    • ◆https://www.rootdata.com/news/farcaster-acquisition-clanker-buyback

    Clanker fee mechanics (v4), pool-level protocol fee details

    • ◆https://paragraph.xyz/@clanker/introducing-clanker-v4

    Clanker UX (deploy via @clanker tag on Farcaster)

    • ◆https://www.geckoterminal.com/base/pools/0x5b23fa253aa3cb2345bfe2088b923cd58b92ff75

    Fee capacity ($34 M+ total, ~$1.1 M/day peaks)

    • ◆https://bitkan.com/news/detail/2148303

    Coinbase/Base strategic intent (Farcaster & Zora integration)

    • ◆https://www.theblock.co/post/362713/coinbase-unveils-base-app-rebrands-wallet-as-all-in-one-social-and-trading-platform
    • ◆https://www.coinbase.com/bytes/archive/why-crypto-is-buzzing-about-farcaster
    • ◆https://www.coinbase.com/blog/a-new-day-one-the-base-app
    • ◆https://www.blockworks.co/news/zora-usage-base-app
    • ◆https://wedistribute.org/2025/03/farcaster-coinbase/

    Coinbase M&A (Deribit, Echo, Liquifi, others)

    • ◆https://www.reuters.com/technology/coinbase-buy-deribit-options-exchange-2025-10-16
    • ◆https://finance.yahoo.com/news/coinbase-acquires-echo-app-2025-09-22
    • ◆https://finance.yahoo.com/news/coinbase-acquires-liquifi-digital-securities-2025-06-18

    $GP precedent (Graphite Protocol / BONK.fun buyback model)

    • ◆https://coinmarketcap.com/cmc-ai/tokenbot-2/latest-updates
    • ◆https://chaincatcher.com/article/3359037

    All URLs are verified as live and relevant as of October 2025.

    Affiliate Disclosures

    • •The author and/or others the author advises do not currently hold, or plan to initiate, an investment position in target.
    • •The author does not hold an affiliated position with the target such as employment, directorship, or consultancy.
    • •The author is not being compensated in any form by target in relation to this research.
    • •To the best of the author's knowledge, the information provided here contains no material, non-public information. The accuracy of the information is the responsibility of the reader.
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