Ben Horowitz

Andy Jassy × Ben Horowitz × Erik Torenberg

Amazon expects about $220 billion of 2026 CapEx, yet AWS capacity is sold out for 2026, largely for 2027, and partly for 2028; AWS AI has exceeded a $25 billion revenue run rate.Data centers require investment roughly two years before monetization, pressuring free cash flow; broader enterprise inference adoption also hinges on costs Jassy still calls an order of magnitude too high.

David Haber × David Solomon × Ben Horowitz

David Solomon sees one of the strongest macro setups in his “40-odd years” in markets, combining fiscal expansion, rate cuts, deregulation and an unprecedented capital-investment supercycle.Confidence has shifted M&A from “no” to “maybe,” potentially producing the biggest M&A year in history, while Goldman’s $1.9 trillion balance sheet and $500 billion deposit base frame the scale-and-funding challenge; FTC uncertainty and geopolitical risk remain key variables.

Erik Torenberg × Marc Andreessen × Ben Horowitz

AI need not match Beethoven to transform productivity: clearing 99.99% of humanity at intelligence and creativity could unlock recombination across domains.Current models already show commercially useful theory of mind in Socratic dialogue and simulated focus groups, though intelligence alone does not confer leadership or human connection.Demand, talent, and chip shortages are attracting supply, while the still-unformed interface and US–China robotics race leave the platform outcome open.