Jonah Van Bourg

Avi Felman × Jonah Van Bourg

MemeFi is rotating between stories rather than attracting a broad 2020–November 2021-style wave, while Robinhood Chain’s weekly volume rose from $500M to $1.5B.Jonah says value may accrue to FOMO, exchanges, Vlad Tenev, or underlying protocols rather than ordinary traders, leaving sub-1% sizing, multi-cycle durability, frontier-model productivity, and Iran’s Hormuz leverage as risks to monitor.

Avi Felman × Jonah Van Bourg

Bitcoin’s 25% rally toward $80K reflects a shift from AI productivity to Treasury and Fed-driven debasement, after equity vol cooled and Bessent deployed capital to defend yields.Avi sees a reasonable chance of $95K-$100K within six weeks and substantial ZCAF flows, with $15.5M in day-one volume comparable to BSOL as a percentage of market cap.The key risk is that this remains an early-innings lockout rally rather than a new bull trend, while NVDA’s crowded short positioning creates a potential one-to-two-day rebound catalyst into earnings.

Avi Felman × Jonah Van Bourg

The yen intervention may be a Treasury backstop designed to prevent Japanese reserve sales from pushing U.S. yields higher, reinforcing a policy regime where Washington’s favored assets and lower rates shape positioning.Avi sees metals rotating as central-bank selling reverses, while Jonah prefers copper’s supply bottleneck and direct exposure; crypto remains resilient, but HOOD offers a higher-margin expression and political risk could redefine the rally.

Avi Felman × Jonah Van Bourg × Santiago Santos

Santiago Santos is winding down Inversion’s crypto thesis after finding Remitly and Wise “not making money” with no pricing power, while stablecoins remain a real dollar-rail use case.The pivot favors mandated, recurring cash flow such as critical-power servicing, where fragmented markets, emergency pricing and AI-enabled efficiency may support returns, while Inversion’s holdco structure protects judgment and capital discipline.

Avi Felman × Jonah Van Bourg

Leopold Aschenbrenner’s fund was margin-called after 4x leverage created roughly $120 billion of memory exposure, showing how public weakness can turn a sound AI thesis into a path-dependent liquidation.Both hosts are buying the dip, citing 40%-50% memory undersupply over the next 12 months.Watch whether the vanished $25 billion July bid delays recovery for 2, 3, or 5 weeks.

Avi Felman × Alexander Good × Jonah Van Bourg

Alex Good’s ad-buying strategy linked acquisition economics to market attention, from long EA/short Booking to Tesla clicks driven by “Elon Musk.”His “goldfish theory” favors recurring attention over forecasting, but fragmentation and trust can break the trade; he is bearish Palantir at 100x sales.He expects AI layoffs within 3 months, while politics and 6% annualized productivity could reshape the opportunity set.

Avi Felman × Jonah Van Bourg

Only 2.2% of US households pay for AI subscriptions, leaving a large adoption runway that could flow to Micron, MSFT, Meta and Google.A 40% memory drawdown has not ended Avi’s thesis, but Korean margin calls show bubble-like leverage, making forced selling and earnings misses the risks to monitor.

Avi Felman × Vlad Novakovski × Jonah Van Bourg

Lighter built finance-specific ZK circuits that it says require 1% of general-purpose compute, targeting lower cost, latency, and verification as decentralized venues challenge centralized exchanges.Its last equity round was committed as the final one, with all value accruing to the token, while on-chain options are planned for Q3 of 26 and regulatory treatment remains conditional on the Clarity Act and SEC innovation.

Avi Felman × Jonah Van Bourg

Avi has turned tactically bullish on crypto as Bitcoin’s sellers appear exhausted and traders rotate from the DRAM selloff, while Jonah sees macro, retail froth and Michael Saylor as unresolved constraints.The disagreement centers on timing and expression: Avi targets Bitcoin at 75–80K and prefers Hyperliquid, Robinhood, Ethereum or Zcash, whereas Jonah favors cautious dollar-cost averaging until a rate-cut cycle or renewed hyper-gambling emerges.

Avi Felman × Jonah Van Bourg × Jordi Alexander

Retail has largely exited crypto altcoins as unlock-driven selling pushes flows toward equities, sports betting, and prediction markets, while Selini trades SpaceX across crypto venues and hedges in tradfi.Predictable passive rebalancing and crypto-native funding markets create opportunity, but October 10 showed how leverage and non-dollar collateral can turn rare volatility into permanent losses.