John Collison

John Collison × Chris Sacca × Will O'Brien

Ulysses’ Mako can sell for as little as $50,000 to navies versus roughly $5 million for the common U.S.Navy autonomous underwater vehicle, while Leviathan supports persistent, modular missions.Demand already exceeds manufacturing capacity, with a factory planned next year; slow procurement could become a moat once deployments make undersea monitoring sticky and bankable.

John Collison × Mark Zuckerberg × Alexandr Wang

Meta is making a $100 billion-scale infrastructure wager to return to the frontier with Muse Wonder, a larger model optimized for personal and professional agents, active memory, long-horizon focus and multimodality.Paid access, APIs, enterprise distribution, commerce and existing-business growth must fund the buildout, while resale or internal use partly hedges downside if models or AI disappoint.

Molly O'Shea × John Collison

AI training is shifting from benchmark scores to economically valuable work, making high-fidelity environments for real workflows, tools, data, and verifiers a bottleneck.Enterprises may gain an edge by owning evaluations and correction data around differentiating workflows while routing tasks across models for accuracy, cost, and latency.Reward hacking and limited agent endurance make permissions, auditability, and verification key adoption constraints.

John Collison × Evan Spiegel

Snap enters 2026 near 1 billion monthly active users and net-income profitability, with consumer Specs launching after 12 years of investment to pair normal-glasses wearability with spatial-computer capabilities.With over two-thirds of new code AI-written, 25 million Snapchat+ subscribers, and direct revenue above $1 billion, cheaper software may increase the value of Snap’s distribution and proprietary hardware.

John Collison × Tony Xu

DoorDash won by proving retention and frequency before buying growth, with product reliability, service recovery, and scarce-capital discipline establishing an “unfair advantage” before acquisition spending accelerated.Its larger opportunity now spans 3–5x incremental restaurant margins, SevenRooms-powered customer identity, and multimodal delivery, but AI interfaces matter only if DoorDash solves inventory, exceptions, and post-checkout reliability end to end.

John Collison × Mati Staniszewski

ElevenLabs is building a more sales-led enterprise business, making the shift in customer mix a key signal for the company’s next phase.Its potential moat combines model architecture with proprietary prosody data, while cascaded agents may anchor complex workflows until conversational orchestration improves enough to support broader deployment.

Chamath Palihapitiya × Jason Calacanis × David Friedberg × John Collison × Patrick Collison

Stripe’s stablecoin strategy targets cross-border dollar access before U.S. checkout payments, with Bridge and rails such as Ethereum L2s and Solana extending its software-orchestrated money movement.Its profitable private model compounds across payments, billing, and treasury while a trusted transaction network could reduce fraud and fees, though Visa and Mastercard trade-offs remain.