Eric Schmidt

Daphne Zohar × Eric Schmidt × Sam Fazeli × Graig Suvannavejh

Biotech’s 80% XBI rally is structurally M&A-led, with roughly $138B announced against $59B of equity issuance, compressing premiums and leaving no preclinical IPOs.Moderna’s melanoma vaccine suggests a durable trade-secret franchise, while BioNTech’s colorectal failure leaves tumor context unresolved; daraxonrasib’s $478K price and frontline label, and ivonescimab’s HARMONi-3 in 6–9 months, set the key monitoring points.

Josh Schimmer × Brian Skorney × Eric Schmidt × Brad Loncar

Scribe’s IPO raised roughly $120M for a TGA-cleared PCSK9 gene-silencing therapy, reopening the very-early-stage biotech window.Six biotech reverse mergers paired with $200M-plus PIPEs, including Xometry’s nearly $200M transaction into InMed, show a faster, increasingly IPO-like financing route.Next week’s RP1 and deramiocel AdComs could clarify whether FDA flexibility is emerging or negative findings signal a more stringent posture.

Sam Fazeli × Josh Schimmer × Eric Schmidt × Paul Matteis × Matt Herper

AstraZeneca’s eplontersen failed its ATTR cardiomyopathy outcomes trial, with Ionis reporting no benefit in the tafamidis-combination group, including no CV-biomarker effect.The readout improves Alnylam’s perception, but royalty-free Nucresiran must still show whether its adjunctive outcomes study preserves silencer-plus-tafamidis synergy; Agios’ mitapivat won priority review despite missing its co-primary VOC endpoint.Atumelnant’s liver-enzyme elevations remain a risk to monitor.

Josh Schimmer × Eric Schmidt × Tess Cameron × Sam Fazeli

XBI’s rise into the mid-150s is backed by fundamentals, though an AI reversal could create cross-sector downside risk.Josh Schimmer’s regression found an R² of just 0.2 between XBI performance and deal value; AbbVie’s $10.9B Apogee purchase instead highlights replicability and order of entry.FDA normalization and continued China-originated financings are catalysts, while restrictions that compress biotech returns remain a risk.

Graig Suvannavejh × Eric Schmidt × Paul Matteis × Oliver Barnes

Biotech is outperforming healthcare, with XBI up 10.5% year-to-date and Parabilis Medicines setting a $771M IPO record.Selective capital remains pivotal: Summit withdrew its $500M offering before the binary global HARMONi-3 readout, while Tango and Revolution reported a 90%+ response rate.Major deals and regulatory shifts offer catalysts, but financing needs, commercial competition, and follow-on capital allocation remain unresolved risks.

Sam Fazeli × Josh Schimmer × Eric Schmidt × Tess Cameron

Bristol Myers’ BMS–Hengrui deal gives Hengrui options to co-develop select assets and conduct certain commercialization activities globally, alongside up to $950M in payments and $15.2B potential value.China’s low-cost, high-speed innovation creates licensing opportunity now, but three-to-five-year global-commercialization plans could shift value capture toward Chinese developers; REGENXBIO’s held DMD filing and Biogen’s Phase 3 tau decision keep precedent and capital allocation in focus.

Josh Schimmer × Paul Matteis × Eric Schmidt × Yaron Werber × Allison DeAngelis

Record biotech secondaries are following better-than-expected data, while Angelini’s $4.1B Catalyst deal and UCB’s $2B-upfront Candid acquisition signal renewed dealmaking.Capital favors development stories over commercial biotech, while Agios’s thalassemia launch may leave 2026 consensus threefold too low and FDA turmoil keeps regulatory credibility in focus.

Eric Schmidt × Matt Gline × Chris Garabedian × Sam Fazeli × Graig Suvannavejh

Biotech’s IPO window remains open: ten deals have raised $3.2B YTD, with the respiratory IPO moving from $18 to near $29.Yet no governor limits the cycle, and generalists remain selective around de-risked clinical- or commercial-stage names.Lilly’s six acquisitions and $14.5B upfront make it a category of one, leaving 2026 M&A and the XBI’s shrinking lead to monitor.

Graig Suvannavejh × Mike Yee × Eric Schmidt

Biotech is up 7.4% YTD versus the S&P 500 down 4%, as Q1 delivered a record first quarter for public-company M&A: nine deals totaling $32B.Biogen’s $5.6B Apellis acquisition paid a 140% premium to address a potential $1.5B Ocrevus royalty shortfall in 2029–2030, but Alexion and Regeneron Phase 3 GA readouts later this year could test the economics.

Grace Colón × Josh Schimmer × Eric Schmidt × Brian Skorney

Novo’s CagriSema delivered 12.6% placebo-adjusted weight loss in REDEFINE 2, broadly in line with Zepbound, but the stock fell roughly 8–10%.Policy risks include MFN pricing, tariffs and vaccine trust, while PBM reform, IRA fixes and the tax bill offer upside; a report expected the week of April 7 could be a catalyst.