Channeling Rage, Rolling Calls & Building an Entertainment Empire | Ari Emanuel, WME & TKO
Ari Emanuel’s $4.2 billion UFC acquisition bet on scarce live sports compelling platforms to pay, despite Fox’s sale, AT&T’s blocked deal, Comcast’s disinterest and Amazon’s withdrawal.By expanding ESPN’s initial $300 million, eight-event package into 10 events plus pay-per-view, he secured a seven-year agreement approaching $4 billion, while TKO and MARI extend the thesis but financing and timing remain risks.
Jake Paul & The Chainsmokers: Turning Fame into Funds, Jake Enters Politics? & Venture Bubble Signs
Chamath PalihapitiyaJason CalacanisDavid SacksDavid FriedbergJake PaulDrew TaggartAlex Pall
Jake Paul is turning owned attention into distribution and talent infrastructure, citing 138 million Netflix viewers for the Mike Tyson event and 400 MVP fighters.His $100 million Anti Fund and The Chainsmokers’ fund target venture economics, but later tranches priced at two or three times earlier valuations without operating improvement leave realized DPI—not TVPI—as the test of Chamath’s bubble warning.
AI 时代,我们到底该学什么?|对谈于红:三种不会过时的能力
于红放弃八位数 carry 和十五年一级市场生涯,转向儿童 SEL 教育,押注语数外巨头尚未覆盖、却在中国日益严峻的社会情感能力缺口。她以林迪效应判断 AI 时代语文和开放性更稀缺,并以高认知家长为起点逐步教育市场;五年十年仍是起步期,家长认知与效果验证是关键变量。
Building One of the Fastest Growing CPG Companies in History | Peter Rahal of David Protein & RXBAR
David has reached two years with Rahal citing this year's revenue as “over 400 million” and “300 million” across bars, frozen food, ready-to-drink beverages, and candy.Epogee vertical integration secured a patented modified triglyceride after David represented about 90% of sales and supply, but contracts, litigation, antitrust claims, and 300–400% growth make supply execution the key variable as the company expands toward Nestlé-scale ambition.
Inside Bending Spoons: Finding Talent, Leveraging AI & Driving Operational Excellence | Luca Ferrari
Bending Spoons is a buy-to-hold-forever operator, producing $3B in run-rate revenue at 54–55% adjusted operating income margins through acquisitions and deep integration.Evernote's headcount fell from 350 to about 20, while revenue now exceeds $100M and product velocity is at least three times faster, demonstrating the operating model's leverage.Diagram and Alt Spooner point to further productivity gains, while fewer, larger deals and the unresolved IPO timeline remain important execution signals to monitor.
The State of AI: Models, Moats, and the Consumer Renaissance
Frontier AI is becoming a many-winners market: xAI moved from non-contender to one of three in two weeks while OpenAI, Anthropic and others grow through specialization.Rising B200 per-hour prices indicate constrained supply and essentially infinite demand, but coding agents threaten integration moats; open-weight models may capture bounded-upside workloads as cheaper consumer software awaits an AI-native app store.
Excellence Is the Capacity To Take Pain | Travis Kalanick, Founder of Uber
Adams—also rendered “Atmo” or “Atoms” in the transcript—is pursuing specialized robotics and AI across food, mining, and robot “wheelbase,” targeting gains such as 20% more annual mine output.Its investable thesis is that operational efficiency can eventually outrun subsidy, but management capacity, regulatory intervention, and the company’s “slightly different” fundraising process remain key execution and financing variables to monitor.
「热爱一个行业15年的理由是什么?」|对谈汪天凡:我要投真正的快乐、投最纯的愿景、投人性的光辉【公路播客】
汪天凡认为,AI应用的稀缺性将从通用智能转向叠加个人context的“智慧”,硬件可能成为承载记忆、反馈与行为的context machine。BAI已布局Looki等四五家公司,但交互层能否注入人性、形成竞争力仍待验证;同时AI基础设施估值与大厂AI CapEx变化,可能在今年年底到明年年初带来资金面风险。
Building a Company in Stealth | Travis Kalanick with a16z
Travis KalanickBen HorowitzErik Torenberg
Atoms is applying full-stack industrial AI to food, mining, and transport, with production, logistics, robotics, and infrastructure unified as an “atoms-based computer.”Its 50% production-cost reduction, 50¢–$1 robotic delivery, and mining productivity now above humans support a path to lower-cost meals and faster deployment, while execution depends on management capacity and overcoming industrial regulation.
Vol.226 宏观漫谈108|2026年中国经济年中观察与两个神奇的中国经济现象(7.16录制)
政府投资和房地产拖累上半年,但新房待售面积连降约四个月、70城20城涨价,显示一线城市至少底部企稳,交易规模或已接近六七万亿。约50万亿定存到期推动资金流向保险、理财和权益,平准基金5—6月快速卖出九成以上仓位由保险低价接盘,后续关注7月存款活化与量子计算、核聚变过热风险。









