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BG2
Open-source bi-weekly conversations with Brad Gerstner and Bill Gurley on technology, markets, investing, and capitalism.
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Jensen Huang | Does AI Revenue Justify Capex, '27 AI Bottlenecks, Singularity, Open vs Closed & more
Jensen HuangBrad GerstnerClark Tang
Jensen Huang argues AI demand can compound as reasoning consumes more inference and agents take on more work, even as intelligence gets cheaper.Physical AI generated $10 billion for Nvidia in the first six months of the year, while infrastructure constraints may delay capacity.Broader demand and software licensing support the capex case, but deployment timing remains a risk.
NVIDIA: OpenAI, Future of Compute, and the American Dream | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley and Brad Gerstner
Brad GerstnerClark TangJensen Huang
Nvidia’s $100 billion OpenAI partnership could support a self-build hyperscaler, with 10 gigawatts implying roughly $400 billion of potential Nvidia revenue.Jensen Huang says AI demand is much larger than consensus, while Nvidia’s 30x Hopper-to-Blackwell gain and power efficiency strengthen its moat; China and H1B talent remain risks.
DeepSeek, Open Source, Tariffs, DOGE, Market Impact | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley & Brad Gerstner
DeepSeek’s R1 was genuinely 30 to 50% more efficient, but reaching o3-class performance may require 10x compute as export controls and inference demand constrain its cluster.Open-source adoption is accelerating while tariffs and DOGE raise policy risk, leaving a super cycle intact but discount rates, multiples, and Nvidia’s sanctions exposure under pressure.