Good Alexander - Why Hyperliquid Really Pumped
Hyperliquid’s sharp rerating came as feared CFTC enforcement looked less likely and tokenization gave chains a real economic race for assets, fees, and liquidity.Trump’s friendly policy signal, whatever its source, mattered more than ordinary four-year-cycle mechanics, while tokenized equities still carry jurisdictional and counterparty risks.A roughly 25% CLARITY Act passage scenario could ignite XRP, HBAR, and Canton, but major USDT outflows remain the clearest warning.
Vol.192 宏观漫谈95｜中美关税新协定与“十五五”规划（11.5录制）
中美新协定拿掉部分高风险关税措施，却仅维持一年，缓解短期压力但仍限制长钱持续配置中国资产。5000亿元支持能否在11月下旬形成实物工作量、制造业能否依靠全球需求与高附加值产品维持，是增长和资产端的关键观察点。
Random Ramblings May 2025
Markets recovered from the roughly 10% “Liberation Day” drop, but delayed plants, stores, deals, and capital spending leave tariff policy and recession risk unresolved.AI may commoditize quantitative work and 10-K comparison, making judgment and real-time management assessment scarcer despite meetings that expose investors to elite salesmanship.Biotech optionality can vanish after 50% clinical odds, time discounting, trial costs, and roughly $50 million annual overhead when incentives favor continued spending.